What's a 'Pareto Tipping Point?'

And how will society likely react when it finally arrives?

Here’s some actionable ‘information therapy’ which you can share with others less informed — a ‘heads-up’ to hopefully prevent being blindsided by the upcoming ‘discontinuity event.’

It appears to me that the PTP is just over the horizon...

EDIT:

Due to the popularity of the concept, I am now publishing irregular updates, collectively titled Pareto Tipping Point Watch. You can find the archive here:

https://cheapthoughts.substack.com/s/pareto-tipping-point-watch

In our current centrally-controlled-narrative culture, certain memes (in the broad sense of the term, not just the fun word-pictures) are forced outside the Overton Window:

…meaning that they are rendered unacceptable to the mainstream population at a given time.

This is accomplished by the Urban Micromanager Caste (the central-narrative planners and complicit ‘media’) deliberately shrinking the Overton Window, to exclude more and more memes which are considered contrary (read: dangerous) to the centrally-controlled narrative.

There are many such memes currently being excluded from public discourse. Following my brief overview of what I call the Pareto Tipping Point, I will list some of the major memes currently being excluded, and how their collective and near-simultaneous entrance into the public consciousness will break the Overton Window, causing a ‘Discontinuity Event’ which will dramatically impact social stability going forward…i.e. buckle-up, buttercup.

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Let’s begin with the wikipedia entry for Pareto Principle:

The mind behind the math

The Pareto principle states that for many outcomes, roughly 80% of consequences come from 20% of causes…other names for this principle include the 80/20 rule…Italian sociologist and economist Vilfredo Pareto wrote in 1906 about the 80/20 connection…Pareto showed that approximately 80% of the land in Italy was owned by 20% of the population…he then carried out surveys on a variety of other countries, and found to his surprise that a similar distribution applied…

In 1941, management consultant Joseph M. Juran further developed the 80/20 concept in the context of quality control and improvement, after reading the works of Pareto. Juran applied the observation that 80% of an issue is caused by 20% of the causes to quality issues.

The Pareto principle is an illustration of a power law distribution (also known as a Pareto distribution) for a particular set of parameters, which also occurs in natural phenomena such as bush fires and earthquakes.

Many observable phenomena distribute according to power law statistics:

• 80/20 is the basis for the Pareto chart, one of the key tools used in total quality control and Six Sigma techniques

• it underpins an adage of business management that "80% of sales come from 20% of clients"

• Microsoft noted that by fixing the top 20% of the most-reported bugs, 80% of the related errors and crashes in a given system would be eliminated…Lowell Arthur expressed that "20% of the code has 80% of the errors. Find them, fix them!"

• 80% of a piece of software can be written in 20% of the total allocated time…conversely, the hardest 20% of the code takes 80% of the time

• assuming that 20% of occupational hazards account for 80% of workplace injuries, and by categorizing hazards, safety professionals can target those 20% of the hazards that cause 80% of the injuries or accidents

• in 2009, the U.S. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality said 20% of patients incurred 80% of healthcare expenses, due to chronic conditions

TLDR: the 80/20 distribution has been found to be broadly explanatory / predictive, across many natural and human phenomena, for well over a century

The wikipedia article continues:

Valid application of the rule requires demonstrating not that one can explain most of the variance or that some small set of observations are explained by a small proportion of process variables, but rather that a large proportion of process variation is associated with a small proportion of the process variables.

The term 80/20 is only a shorthand for the general principle at work. In individual cases, the distribution could just as well be, say, nearer to 90/10 or 70/30. There is no need for the two numbers to add up to the number 100, as they are measures of different things (e.g., 'number of customers' vs 'amount spent')…

This last bit is what emboldens me to add my not-math-based 2¢ to Pareto’s math-based principle

Disclaimer: I am not a math / science person - I am a wordsmith. This article is a deliberate ‘layman’s terms’ simplification of a very complex phenomenon, well-described by very complex math, but not-so-well-described by the embattled English language. I aim to change that here.

My thesis is that the 80/20 rule can be applied to how memes which are excluded from the Overton Window can break the window upon their emergence.

Consider for a moment any meme which is known and understood by a small subset of a population. This lack of broad awareness places that meme outside the Overton Window - in the graphic above, the Radical / Unthinkable Zone.

Whether this exclusion is due to deliberate suppression by central-narrative planners, or simply the lack of wide enough exposure, is irrelevant. What matters is that the meme is “rendered unacceptable ‘to the mainstream population at a given time,’” and therefore discourse is limited to a subset of a population.

However, given the awareness of the meme by a subset of a population, I feel that this subset can be considered ‘the 19%’ of the total population.

If that is the case, the Pareto Principle states that increasing the size of that subset by just ONE PERCENT — to the target 20% — can SUDDENLY make that meme GO VIRAL.

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And THAT would be our Pareto Tipping Point, when suddenly 80% of the population now sees the meme WITHIN the Overton Window, and therefore fair game for widespread public discourse — without the consent of the Urban Micromanager Caste.

As promised, a short list (in no particular order) of memes currently hovering at or just below 19%:

• the ‘Fake Money’ we are forced to use, via Legal Tender laws, and its impending collapse

When EVIL is being honest with you, BELIEVE IT

• the Epstein / Maxwell client list, STILL not disclosed

Maxwell’s father Robert was an Israeli spy…

• the Biden Crime Family as the tip-of-the-iceberg of international RICO pillaging

‘Hunter’s laptop’ is RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION!!! REEEEEEEEEEE!!!

• the ‘green energy’ scam — EVs powered by coal / diesel charging stations, 10 minute cities, solar and wind turbine boondoggles, etc.

And SHUT UP about Obama’s ocean-front mansion, pleb

• the UN / WEF’s transhumanism and depopulation agendas

EAT ZE BUGS

• big pharma’s culpability in mass death and suffering from mRNA injections

Safe and Effective…stops transmission…so we can Return To Normal

• ubiquitous government surveillance activity against domestic populations

This week, Congress starred in the sequel, ‘Mr. Johnson Goes To Washington’

• the human trafficking into Euro-American nations of incompatible peoples

Don’t worry, we’ll just print another $20 gorillian to buy them stuff…

• the billions spent on made-for-TV genocides ‘wars’ being staged in the Ukraine and the Levant, all just a money-laundering shenaniganza

‘Total War’ as in massive civilian carnage

Please help expand this list in the comments!

This is just a small sample…an exhaustive list would take too long to compile and is beyond the scope of this piece.

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The conclusion is obvious. The Urban Micromanager Caste are losing their narrative control, due to too many variables having accrued over time. The predicament is akin to a master juggler whose assistant proceeds to add more and more balls to the routine until there are just too many — the routine must then collapse.

If the central-narrative planners were able to allow any of the memes listed above to enter the Overton Window without damaging their narrative equilibrium, they surely would. That would allow for the gradual release of some pressure, as well as the ability to spin the information to their advantage.

I feel that we are about to witness the combined pressure of ALL the above memes (plus many more) causing The MOTHER of all Pareto Tipping Points, wherein the InfoDam will burst, and ALL the memes outside the Overton Window will together overwhelm the public discourse and drown-out (pun intended) the central-narrative planners’ desperate denials / distractions / excuses.

I expect that when this happens, the Urban Micromanager Caste will go full-bore with the social destabilization agenda they have been deploying incrementally for decades. When that happens, they will have finally been pushed into the Light, and will no longer be able to hide behind institutional appeals-to-authority.

Our task will then be to provide a stabilizing influence, using the skills we have cultivated as noticers and alternative voices.

Those around us who have long been blinded by the central-narrative will naturally look to us for help in understanding the upheaval afoot. The better prepared WE are, the better able we will be to help others in psychic distress.

So it seems we’re currently at 19% and waiting…the Urban Micromanager Caste are desperately holding the line, else for them it’s ‘game over.’ 

How long this unsustainable situation can continue is anyone’s guess; it has already lasted longer than I ever imagined back in 2000, when the Bush v. Gore U.S. presidential election revealed that ‘elections’ are a charade.

One thing I can say with confidence? That which is unsustainable cannot — WILL NOT — be sustained.

My hope is that this Pareto Tipping Point framework is useful to you, and that you will share it with others who sense something is wrong but cannot quite grasp what exactly it is. I feel that the more of us who anticipate what is coming, the more stability we can provide when the Overton Window shatters.

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As always, thanks for reading, and stay skeptical.